Follo vs Kjelsås analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
12º
12º
27
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 54 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 49 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 48 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 44 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 42 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 40 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 21 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 17 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
48.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
RFK
1 - 0
FOL
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FOL
3 - 2
ALT
44%
24%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
LEV
0 - 1
FOL
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
EID
2 - 1
FOL
66%
19%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
FOL
1 - 4
ULL
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kjelsås
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KJE
4 - 5
EID
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
KJE
1 - 2
STR
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ALT
2 - 0
KJE
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
KJE
2 - 2
RFK
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
LEV
1 - 1
KJE
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |