Follo vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
FOL
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 0
RAN
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NES
0 - 0
FOL
42%
24%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 1
BBS
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
HOD
2 - 1
FOL
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
LEV
4 - 1
BAR
41%
23%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
STR
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
HOD
4 - 2
BAR
55%
23%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
RAN
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
JER
5 - 0
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |