Folkestone Invicta vs Molesey FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 1
HYT
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
RAM
2 - 1
FOL
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
FOL
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 1
WAL
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
FOL
5 - 0
SIT
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Molesey FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MOL
8 - 1
HAI
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
TOO
1 - 0
MOL
82%
13%
5%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
HOR
1 - 0
MOL
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MOL
1 - 1
WAL
18%
24%
59%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
MOL
0 - 1
BUR
17%
23%
60%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |