Conference Premier Round 4

Folkestone Invicta vs Margate analysis

Folkestone Invicta Margate
40 ELO 45
-7.4% Tilt -12.9%
7484º General ELO ranking 8062º
288º Country ELO ranking 324º
ELO win probability
40.5%
Folkestone Invicta
25.5%
Draw
34%
Margate

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
Folkestone Invicta
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34%
Win probability
Margate
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Folkestone Invicta
+4%
-4%
Margate

ELO progression

Folkestone Invicta
Margate
Chelmsford City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Folkestone Invicta
Folkestone Invicta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2006
HEY
Heybridge Swifts
2 - 0
Folkestone Invicta
FOL
67%
20%
13%
42 51 9 0
22 Aug. 2006
BIL
Billericay Town
1 - 1
Folkestone Invicta
FOL
65%
20%
14%
42 50 8 0
19 Aug. 2006
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
0 - 1
Harrow Borough
HAR
60%
22%
18%
43 36 7 -1
29 Apr. 2006
STA
Staines Town
2 - 2
Folkestone Invicta
FOL
59%
23%
19%
43 48 5 0
22 Apr. 2006
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
5 - 2
Wealdstone
WEA
55%
24%
21%
42 37 5 +1

Matches

Margate
Margate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2006
MAR
Margate
2 - 1
Slough Town
SLO
53%
23%
24%
42 38 4 0
22 Aug. 2006
MAR
Margate
1 - 1
East Thurrock United FC
EAS
52%
24%
24%
43 40 3 -1
19 Aug. 2006
WOR
Worthing
2 - 5
Margate
MAR
51%
24%
25%
41 42 1 +2
29 Apr. 2006
MAR
Margate
4 - 2
Hendon
HEN
54%
24%
23%
40 37 3 +1
22 Apr. 2006
LFC
Leyton FC
0 - 2
Margate
MAR
46%
24%
30%
39 38 1 +1