Folkestone Invicta vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 2
FOL
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ENF
2 - 0
FOL
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 2
WIN
73%
16%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 4
FOL
30%
22%
49%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
COR
71%
17%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
COR
0 - 2
LEW
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LEW
1 - 3
WHI
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEW
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
LEW
0 - 2
DOR
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
LEW
0 - 0
POT
67%
19%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |