Folkestone Invicta vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
3 - 1
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BOG
4 - 3
FOL
39%
24%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
1 - 1
HAR
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 0
FOL
8%
15%
77%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
MER
0 - 4
FOL
12%
17%
71%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BOW
0 - 1
HOR
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 1
LEA
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 1
HOR
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 2
AVE
36%
25%
38%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 1
HOR
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |