Foligno Calcio vs VF Colligiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MPO
1 - 0
FOL
30%
26%
43%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 0
SSD
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 1
FOL
46%
23%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VOL
1 - 2
FOL
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 0
FCV
25%
26%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
VF Colligiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VFC
0 - 2
FCV
24%
26%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ACS
0 - 0
VFC
48%
26%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VFC
0 - 1
ASG
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VFC
1 - 2
GHI
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
USP
2 - 0
VFC
49%
26%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |