Folgore vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
11º
7º
23
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 0
FOL
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 3
FOL
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
FOL
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 0
FOL
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 0
FOL
14%
20%
66%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 3
SGI
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 2
MUR
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 3
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
SGI
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |