Folgore vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
11º
7º
23
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 0
FOL
15%
21%
65%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 3
FOL
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
FOL
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 0
FOL
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 0
FOL
15%
21%
65%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 3
SGI
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 2
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 3
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
SGI
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |