Folgore vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
13%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
TPE
0 - 0
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 0
COS
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
58%
24%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 0
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 1
JUV
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 0
MUR
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
3 - 0
COS
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |