Folgore vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
12%
23%
65%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 2
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
5 - 0
MUR
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TFI
1 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TPE
1 - 1
FIO
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 2
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 2
TFI
58%
21%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAI
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |