Folgore Caratese vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+112%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FEZ
1 - 3
FOL
39%
24%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
FOL
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 1
LIG
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
INV
1 - 1
FOL
51%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
BOR
59%
23%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LAV
2 - 2
LIG
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 1
LAV
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LAV
1 - 1
CAS
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 3
LAV
61%
20%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
LAV
0 - 0
INV
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |