Folgore Caratese vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
BOG
0 - 1
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 2
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
CHI
28%
26%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 4
FOL
31%
27%
43%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 2
AST
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
LAV
3 - 1
AST
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
LAV
22%
24%
53%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
LAV
2 - 1
SES
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DER
1 - 0
LAV
28%
27%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LAV
2 - 1
CHI
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |