Folgore Caratese vs Castellanzese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
LAV
0 - 5
FOL
35%
28%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
FOL
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 4
FOL
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PDH
0 - 3
CAS
43%
23%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
SES
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
CAS
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
ASD
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |