Folgore Caratese vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
64.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
FOL
23%
26%
51%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 0
ARC
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 2
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 0
NOV
10%
19%
72%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 1
BOR
26%
27%
48%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 3
GOZ
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
PAV
13%
21%
65%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 2
ASD
78%
15%
8%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FER
1 - 3
PAV
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 1
POR
46%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |