Folgore Caratese vs AC Leon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VCB
0 - 1
FOL
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
4 - 1
SON
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
USB
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CRE
2 - 1
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 1
UNI
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Leon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 4
ARC
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEO
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 4
SAN
12%
17%
70%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
USP
3 - 0
LEO
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 3
CAL
18%
20%
63%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |