Folgore Caratese vs AC Castellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DAR
2 - 1
FOL
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 3
FCC
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GCS
2 - 3
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
COL
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 3
CAR
40%
26%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
AC Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ACC
0 - 0
MAN
13%
23%
64%
|
29 | 66 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TRE
3 - 1
ACC
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
ACC
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ACC
1 - 0
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ACC
0 - 3
BOR
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |