Folgore Caratese vs AC Merate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ALZ
1 - 0
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
0 - 0
TRI
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 0
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SAL
0 - 0
FOL
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
BOR
72%
17%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
AC Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 3
BOR
66%
20%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OLG
3 - 2
ACM
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 0
USS
20%
24%
56%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +4 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VOG
4 - 1
ACM
74%
16%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 2
FAN
20%
24%
56%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |