Liga Brasileña Sub 17 Play Offs Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Fluminense U17 vs São Paulo U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SPA
2 - 1
FLU
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 1
FLU
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 1
VAS
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
FLU
0 - 4
ATH
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
INT
0 - 3
FLU
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SPA
2 - 1
FLU
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SPA
2 - 1
COR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
COR
3 - 2
SPA
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 3
SPA
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SPA
5 - 3
CEA
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |