Liga Brasileña Sub 17 Quarter-finals
Global 4-6
Fluminense U17 vs Palmeiras U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
FLU
1 - 1
AME
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 1
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 3
FLU
24%
23%
52%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FLU
4 - 3
BRA
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 3
SPA
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 4
PAL
10%
16%
75%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 3
ATH
71%
16%
12%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 2
PAL
7%
14%
79%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 1
ATL
90%
7%
3%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |