Fluminense vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FLU
3 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLU
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
FLU
5 - 1
CRZ
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
FLU
0 - 1
BRA
88%
9%
4%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 0
FFL
83%
11%
7%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
JUV
2 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOT
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAN
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 3
SCI
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |