Fluminense vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 2
FLU
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
NAU
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
PPE
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 0
PPE
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PPE
0 - 0
VAS
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PPE
0 - 0
BOT
32%
25%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |