Fluminense vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 2
FLU
8%
21%
71%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 2
VAS
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
FLU
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 2
CRZ
64%
20%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 3
FLU
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 0
AUD
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
5 - 1
OLA
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 0
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 2
OLA
60%
21%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
1 - 2
FRI
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |