Fluminense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
FLU
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLU
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
PPE
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 3
GRE
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
COT
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 3
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |