Fluminense vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 0
FFL
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLU
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
42%
23%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 0
FOR
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
FOR
3 - 4
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
50%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 0
FOR
56%
26%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 1
FOR
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |