Fluminense vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 2
BOA
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 3
FLU
9%
20%
71%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
FRI
86%
11%
4%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
VAS
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 0
DUQ
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 3
VAS
13%
20%
68%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOA
3 - 1
DUQ
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 2
BOA
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
DUQ
86%
11%
3%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | -1 |