Fluminense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
4 - 0
UCE
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
2 - 2
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 2
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
DYJ
1 - 0
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
ATM
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
FLA
5 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 2
BOT
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
VAS
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |