Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
JUV
3 - 4
FLU
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
PAR
6 - 1
FLU
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
FLU
0 - 2
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SCI
2 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
BAN
0 - 0
FLU
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 2
BOT
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 2
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
FFL
1 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
24%
23%
53%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOT
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |