Fluminense vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLU
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
FLU
2 - 0
ATM
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
SPO
0 - 1
FLU
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
FLU
0 - 0
BOT
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
CRZ
0 - 0
AMF
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
AMF
2 - 0
COT
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1971 |
AMF
0 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1971 |
VAS
2 - 0
AMF
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
COR
3 - 1
AMF
75%
15%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |