Fluminense MG vs Mamoré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PAT
7 - 1
FMG
77%
14%
8%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FMG
0 - 2
PAT
16%
21%
63%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
MAM
1 - 0
FMG
75%
16%
9%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FMG
0 - 1
BOA
13%
22%
65%
|
9 | 59 | 50 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
URT
5 - 0
FMG
75%
15%
9%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MAM
2 - 1
UBE
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
UBE
2 - 0
MAM
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
MAM
1 - 0
FMG
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
MAM
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 1
MAM
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |