Fluminense PI vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
73.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 1
RIV
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 3
FPI
8%
13%
79%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 0
PAR
57%
22%
22%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SER
3 - 1
FPI
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 4
PPE
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
BAH
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
BAH
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
JAC
1 - 4
BAH
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
4 - 0
BAH
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |