Flugels vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
KYO
1 - 2
FLU
33%
25%
43%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
GAM
2 - 1
FLU
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
FLU
2 - 3
FCY
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
FLU
1 - 3
URA
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
KAR
0 - 2
FLU
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
TOK
1 - 6
JUB
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
TOK
2 - 0
NAG
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
GAM
2 - 1
TOK
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
KAA
5 - 0
TOK
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
TOK
2 - 0
VIS
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |