Swinoujscie vs Gwardia Koszalin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swinoujscie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ROD
3 - 0
FLO
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
POG
3 - 0
FLO
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
FLO
0 - 3
BYT
42%
29%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
WIG
3 - 0
FLO
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
FLO
0 - 3
PLO
23%
28%
49%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gwardia Koszalin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GWA
3 - 0
PSZ
27%
23%
49%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
GWA
1 - 3
PSR
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
RST
2 - 2
GWA
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GWA
2 - 1
SOK
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CHP
4 - 0
GWA
15%
21%
64%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |