Série D Brazil Eliminatorias. 1/16
Global 4-3
Floresta EC vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
FLO
5 - 1
AFO
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ARN
2 - 1
FLO
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
FLO
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 1
CAM
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FLO
1 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 0
ITA
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 1
CEN
36%
27%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
COR
2 - 0
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
7 - 0
JAC
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 2
ITA
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |