FC Flora Tallin III vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora Tallin III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
FLO
2 - 1
SJK
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
RAP
1 - 1
FLO
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TAB
1 - 1
FLO
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
FLO
1 - 3
FCP
10%
16%
74%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NOM
6 - 1
FLO
95%
4%
1%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 0
TUL
19%
17%
63%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GAN
5 - 1
PAR
72%
15%
14%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
OTE
4 - 0
PAR
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
PAR
55%
19%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
IMA
4 - 0
PAR
28%
21%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |