Flint Town United vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
10º
9º
41
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
FLI
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 4
NEW
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
FLI
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FLI
0 - 1
HAV
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
FLI
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |