Flavia vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
COX
1 - 1
FLA
74%
18%
9%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
FLA
0 - 4
GRA
34%
29%
38%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
CEL
2 - 2
FLA
65%
22%
13%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
FLA
0 - 1
LEM
60%
24%
16%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
VIV
2 - 0
FLA
66%
22%
11%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
CEL
0 - 1
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
ASP
4 - 0
CEL
79%
15%
6%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
CEL
3 - 3
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
MAR
3 - 0
CEL
50%
27%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
CEL
2 - 0
DEP
29%
31%
41%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |