Flavia vs CD Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BAY
0 - 3
FLA
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 2
LCL
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PIL
3 - 0
FLA
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
OUT
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
FLA
20%
22%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
SIG
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 3
UNI
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
AGO
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 0
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LCL
0 - 1
UNI
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |