PDL USA Western Conference Round 5

Flatirons Rush vs Albion Colorado analysis

Flatirons Rush Albion Colorado
28 ELO 19
-7.4% Tilt -2.4%
9203º General ELO ranking 14093º
153º Country ELO ranking 217º
ELO win probability
76.2%
Flatirons Rush
14.3%
Draw
9.5%
Albion Colorado

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
Flatirons Rush
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Win probability
Albion Colorado
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Points and table prediction

Flatirons Rush
Their league position
Albion Colorado
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
25º
19º
22
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ballard
30
30
100%
San Juan
28
28
100%
Ventura County Fusion
25
28
76.5%
Almaden
28
28
76.5%
Tucson
10º
23
26
83%
Snohomish United
26
26
83%
Utah United
25
25
0%
Glens
25
25
0%
Lane United
25
25
0%
Capo II
24
24
10º
91%
City SC
11º
22
22
11º
0%
Colorado Storm
12º
22
22
12º
0%
Albion Colorado
13º
22
22
13º
0%
San Francisco City
14º
22
22
14º
0%
Redlands
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Bangers
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Project 51O
17º
21
21
17º
91.5%
AMSG
18º
18
18
18º
91.5%
Flatirons Rush
19º
17
17
19º
0%
Academica
21º
17
17
20º
0%
Midlakes United
20º
17
17
21º
0%
West Seattle Junction
22º
16
16
22º
100%
Bigfoot
24º
15
15
23º
100%
Oly Town
23º
15
15
24º
100%
Marin
25º
14
14
25º
100%
Davis Legacy
26º
11
11
26º
100%
Monterey Bay 2 FC
27º
9
9
27º
100%
Seahorses
28º
8
8
28º
100%
Tacoma Stars
29º
7
7
29º
97.5%
Stars FC
30º
5
5
30º
97.5%
CISA
31º
1
1
31º
100%
Coachella
32º
1
1
32º
100%
Expected probabilities
Flatirons Rush
Albion Colorado
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Flatirons Rush
Albion Colorado
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flatirons Rush
Flatirons Rush
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jul. 2025
FLA
Flatirons Rush
1 - 2
Colorado Storm
COS
81%
12%
7%
29 15 14 0
04 Jul. 2025
FLA
Flatirons Rush
0 - 2
Albion Colorado
ASC
80%
13%
7%
30 16 14 -1
27 Jun. 2025
FLA
Flatirons Rush
1 - 3
Utah United
UTA
76%
14%
9%
31 20 11 -1
19 Jun. 2025
COS
Colorado Storm
2 - 2
Flatirons Rush
FLA
8%
14%
78%
32 11 21 -1
15 Jun. 2025
FLA
Flatirons Rush
0 - 0
CISA
CIS
88%
9%
3%
32 7 25 0

Matches

Albion Colorado
Albion Colorado
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2025
ASC
Albion Colorado
6 - 1
CISA
CIS
85%
10%
5%
18 7 11 0
04 Jul. 2025
FLA
Flatirons Rush
0 - 2
Albion Colorado
ASC
80%
13%
7%
16 30 14 +2
29 Jun. 2025
ASC
Albion Colorado
1 - 0
Utah United
UTA
24%
21%
55%
16 21 5 0
25 Jun. 2025
CIS
CISA
2 - 3
Albion Colorado
ASC
17%
18%
65%
15 7 8 +1
22 Jun. 2025
COS
Colorado Storm
4 - 2
Albion Colorado
ASC
24%
21%
55%
17 12 5 -2