PDL USA Western Conference Round 4

Flatirons Rush vs Albion Colorado analysis

Flatirons Rush Albion Colorado
34 ELO 18
-5.9% Tilt -2.4%
8166º General ELO ranking 12783º
151º Country ELO ranking 218º
ELO win probability
79.1%
Flatirons Rush
12.9%
Draw
8%
Albion Colorado

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
Flatirons Rush
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8%
Win probability
Albion Colorado
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

Points and table prediction

Flatirons Rush
Their league position
Albion Colorado
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
25º
13
15º
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ballard
24
34
86%
San Juan
25
29
53.5%
Tucson
19
26
14.5%
Ventura County Fusion
19
26
19%
Glens
22
26
8.5%
Utah United
25
25
14.5%
Lane United
10º
19
25
7%
Redlands
11º
18
24
12%
Flatirons Rush
13º
17
24
9.5%
Snohomish United
20
24
10º
10.5%
Capo II
20
23
11º
15%
Almaden
19
23
12º
8.5%
San Francisco City
12º
18
22
13º
7.5%
City SC
14º
16
20
14º
19.5%
Project 51O
17º
15
19
15º
9%
Midlakes United
20º
13
19
16º
10%
AMSG
15º
15
18
17º
12%
Academica
22º
11
18
18º
5.5%
Bangers
16º
15
18
19º
13%
Colorado Storm
18º
13
17
20º
9.5%
Albion Colorado
19º
13
16
21º
24%
Oly Town
23º
9
16
22º
14.5%
Bigfoot
21º
11
14
23º
20%
Davis Legacy
25º
8
12
24º
15.5%
Monterey Bay 2 FC
26º
8
12
25º
21%
West Seattle Junction
30º
4
11
26º
13.5%
Marin
27º
8
11
27º
21%
Tacoma Stars
28º
7
11
28º
19.5%
Seahorses
24º
8
9
29º
15.5%
Stars FC
29º
5
5
30º
84.5%
CISA
31º
1
2
31º
92.5%
Coachella
32º
1
1
32º
100%
Expected probabilities
Flatirons Rush
Albion Colorado
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Flatirons Rush
Albion Colorado
CISA
Colorado Storm
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flatirons Rush
Flatirons Rush
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jun. 2025
FLA
Flatirons Rush
1 - 3
Utah United
UTA
75%
15%
10%
34 21 13 0
19 Jun. 2025
COS
Colorado Storm
2 - 2
Flatirons Rush
FLA
9%
15%
76%
35 11 24 -1
15 Jun. 2025
FLA
Flatirons Rush
0 - 0
CISA
CIS
87%
9%
4%
35 8 27 0
12 Jun. 2025
ASC
Albion Colorado
0 - 1
Flatirons Rush
FLA
14%
17%
69%
34 18 16 +1
08 Jun. 2025
COS
Colorado Storm
0 - 1
Flatirons Rush
FLA
8%
14%
78%
34 10 24 0

Matches

Albion Colorado
Albion Colorado
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2025
ASC
Albion Colorado
1 - 0
Utah United
UTA
25%
21%
54%
17 22 5 0
25 Jun. 2025
CIS
CISA
2 - 3
Albion Colorado
ASC
15%
17%
68%
16 9 7 +1
22 Jun. 2025
COS
Colorado Storm
4 - 2
Albion Colorado
ASC
24%
21%
55%
18 13 5 -2
12 Jun. 2025
ASC
Albion Colorado
0 - 1
Flatirons Rush
FLA
14%
17%
69%
18 34 16 0
10 Jun. 2025
ASC
Albion Colorado
3 - 2
Colorado Storm
COS
80%
13%
8%
18 10 8 0