Copa Brasil Sub 17 Final
Global 6-1
Flamengo U17 vs São Paulo U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 3
FLA
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 5
FLA
35%
21%
44%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
7 - 3
PAL
45%
21%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 1
CRU
68%
17%
15%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 0
FLA
16%
18%
66%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 3
FLA
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SPA
3 - 1
ATL
67%
18%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
SPA
26%
22%
53%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 0
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 1
FLU
37%
22%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |