Flamengo SP vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
FLA
35%
27%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 0
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
RIO
27%
25%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TAB
2 - 2
FLA
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
NAC
24%
25%
52%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
0 - 0
PAU
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAU
0 - 2
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
PAU
0 - 1
SJS
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
PAU
39%
26%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
PAU
1 - 0
ATI
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |