Paulista A3 Promotion Round 2

Flamengo SP vs Matonense analysis

Flamengo SP Matonense
53 ELO 52
-9.3% Tilt -13.4%
8636º General ELO ranking 23289º
358º Country ELO ranking 656º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Flamengo SP
25.3%
Draw
32.8%
Matonense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
Flamengo SP
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.8%
Win probability
Matonense
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo SP
-38%
-54%
Matonense

ELO progression

Flamengo SP
Matonense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo SP
Flamengo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2016
NAC
Nacional SP
1 - 1
Flamengo SP
FLA
52%
23%
25%
52 53 1 0
03 Apr. 2016
CAT
Catanduvense
2 - 0
Flamengo SP
FLA
34%
26%
41%
53 47 6 -1
30 Mar. 2016
FLA
Flamengo SP
1 - 0
Grêmio Osasco
GRE
47%
24%
29%
53 49 4 0
27 Mar. 2016
SAO
São Carlos
0 - 1
Flamengo SP
FLA
35%
27%
39%
52 49 3 +1
25 Mar. 2016
SAO
São José
1 - 3
Flamengo SP
FLA
34%
25%
41%
51 45 6 +1

Matches

Matonense
Matonense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2016
MAT
Matonense
0 - 1
Sertãozinho
SER
51%
23%
26%
53 51 2 0
03 Apr. 2016
MAT
Matonense
6 - 1
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
80%
14%
6%
53 22 31 0
29 Mar. 2016
RIO
Rio Preto
1 - 1
Matonense
MAT
43%
25%
32%
53 53 0 0
26 Mar. 2016
PRI
Primavera SP
1 - 1
Matonense
MAT
24%
26%
51%
53 45 8 0
23 Mar. 2016
MAT
Matonense
3 - 0
São Carlos
SAO
50%
23%
27%
52 51 1 +1