Flamengo vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.3%
3%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAO
85%
12%
3%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLA
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 3
FLA
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
8%
17%
75%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
7%
16%
77%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
OSV
0 - 2
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |