Flamengo vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLA
35%
27%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 1
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
FLA
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
FFL
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
PAL
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
IND
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FFL
3 - 1
SAN
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |