Flamengo vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SCI
4 - 1
FLA
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLA
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
VAS
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 0
FLA
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PPE
3 - 1
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 2
PPE
68%
19%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 0
PPE
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
PPE
0 - 2
BAH
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |