Flamengo vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1983 |
FLA
7 - 1
BLO
99%
1%
0%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
GOI
1 - 1
FLA
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
FLA
5 - 1
COR
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
GUA
0 - 0
FLA
47%
24%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1983 |
FLA
2 - 0
GOI
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
COR
2 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
GOI
1 - 1
GUA
37%
29%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
GUA
0 - 0
FLA
47%
24%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
GUA
1 - 1
COR
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
CRZ
1 - 1
GUA
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |