Flamengo vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 3
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
FLA
7%
15%
78%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 3
JUV
84%
13%
4%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
RES
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
OES
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
TAU
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
IRA
3 - 1
GRÊ
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 1
GRÊ
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TAB
2 - 4
GRÊ
14%
19%
68%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |