Flamengo vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
COR
0 - 2
FLA
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
GOI
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLA
28%
25%
46%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 3
FLA
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 1
PPE
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 2
DUQ
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
DUQ
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 1
ABC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |