Flamengo vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2019 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
FLA
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 1
FLA
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
CRZ
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
LDU
2 - 1
FLA
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATP
31%
29%
40%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
COR
1 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 0
SCI
28%
30%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
COR
2 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |