Flamengo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 1
FLA
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
GOI
2 - 2
FLA
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 2
SCI
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
ATP
3 - 1
CRZ
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
COR
0 - 5
ATP
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
42%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
ATP
37%
26%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ATP
1 - 1
COT
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |